Carlos Ulberg’s Interrupted Reign: Light Heavyweight in Limbo
Carlos Ulberg won the light heavyweight title on one leg, then tore his ACL. A scenario-based look at his recovery, his rivals, and a frozen 205 division....
Yan vs Merab 3: The Trilogy That Decides a Bantamweight Era
Petr Yan and Merab Dvalishvili are tied at one win each. A scenario-based look at the bantamweight trilogy, Yan's back surgery, and what decides fight three....
Volkanovski vs Evloev: The Age Curve Meets an Unbeaten Record
Alexander Volkanovski is still champion at 37 and Movsar Evloev is next. A scenario-based look at the age curve, the matchup, and the featherweight stakes....
US Open 2026 Predictions: Sinner, the Field, and What Markets Say
Last updated: July 2026 · 8 min read The last hard-court major of 2026 arrives with an unusual shape: one overwhelming favorite and a genuinely unsettled field behind him. Jannik Sinner enters the US Open window having just defended his Wimbledon title, while his biggest rival, Carlos Alcaraz, is...
How Often Do Underdogs Win in the UFC? What the Numbers Say
Last updated: July 2026 · 8 min read Every few weeks, an MMA card produces a result that “nobody saw coming.” A champion retires on his stool, an unbeaten contender loses a split decision, a returning superstar lasts barely a minute. Each upset feels shocking in isolation. Viewed across...
Will Conor McGregor Fight Again? Scenarios After UFC 329
Last updated: July 2026 · 8 min read Conor McGregor’s long-awaited return lasted 69 seconds. At UFC 329 on July 11, 2026 — his first fight in five years — McGregor attempted a jumping attack in the opening moments against Max Holloway, landed badly, and his knee gave out....
UFC Pound-for-Pound in 2026: Who Is Really No. 1 Now?
Last updated: July 2026 · 8 min read Pound-for-pound debates are usually slow-moving arguments. Not in 2026. In the space of a few summer weeks, three of the sport’s presumed top fighters — Ilia Topuria, Alex Pereira, and Khamzat Chimaev — all lost, Conor McGregor’s comeback collapsed in 69...
When Do MMA Fighters Peak and Decline? What the Data Shows
Last updated: July 2026 · 9 min read Ask when an MMA fighter peaks and you will get confident answers pointing in opposite directions. Fans cite 25-year-old phenoms; analysts point to champions winning titles at 35. Both are looking at real data — from different eras and different kinds...
Norway World Cup 2026 Prediction: Can Haaland Carry Them All the Way?
Norway reached its first-ever World Cup quarter-final by beating Brazil. What Haaland's form and the underlying numbers say about how far this run can go....
World Cup 2026 Predictions vs Results: What Markets Got Right — and Wrong
A midpoint audit of World Cup 2026 forecasts: what prediction markets priced correctly, where they went wrong, and what it teaches about forecasting....