Understand the future through prediction markets

Latest from the Journal

Fresh analysis, forecasts, and guides — updated continuously. For those interested in market-based forecasting, our coverage includes prediction markets and their insights.

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  Will the Polymarket–Kalshi Duopoly Break in 2026?
  Last updated: July 2026  ·  8 min read Two companies almost no one had heard of five years ago now define an entire category. In 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket sit… Read more: Will the Polymarket–Kalshi Duopoly Break in 2026?
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  Why Focused, Niche Prediction Markets Could Beat the Giants
  Last updated: July 2026  ·  7 min read The biggest prediction-market platforms compete to price everything at once — elections, interest rates, sports finals, awards shows, even the weather. Breadth… Read more: Why Focused, Niche Prediction Markets Could Beat the Giants
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  Biggest Prediction Market Bets of 2026: The $45B Story
  Prediction markets traded a record $45 billion in a single month in 2026. From the World Cup to the midterms, here are the biggest bets defining the year.
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  Spider-Man: Brand New Day Box Office: Can It Be 2026’s #1?
  Spider-Man: Brand New Day opens 31 July 2026 and betting markets make it the favourite to be the year’s #1 film. The drivers, the risks, and the scenarios.
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  2026 Midterms: What Prediction Markets Say About Congress
  Prediction markets give Democrats a strong chance to flip the House in 2026, while the Senate stays a coin flip. What the midterm odds actually say right now.
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  Will the Housing Market Crash in 2026? What to Expect
  Will the US housing market crash in 2026? High mortgage rates and stretched prices fuel the fear, but a shortage of homes argues against it. The scenarios.

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• ☁️ Climate — Environmental & Sustainability Forecasts (1)
• ⚽ Sports — Forecasts & Competitive Outcomes (59)
• 🌍 Geopolitics — Global Forecasts and Power Dynamics (18)
• 🎭 Culture — Media, Ideas & Social Trends (7)
• 🏛 Politics — Forecasts, Elections, and Power Shifts (2)
• 💡 Technology — Innovation & Future Trends (15)
• 💰 Economy — Forecasts & Market Expectations (8)
• 📈 Finance — Market Movements & Investor Sentiment (12)
• 🧩 General Information — How Nexory and Prediction Markets Work (20)
• 🪙 Crypto — Forecasts & Blockchain Trends (25)