Understand the future through prediction markets

Latest from the Journal

Fresh analysis, forecasts, and guides — updated continuously. For those interested in market-based forecasting, our coverage includes prediction markets and their insights.

• 
  Insider Trading on Prediction Markets: The 2026 Reckoning
  Platforms flagged over 100 potential insider trading cases in 2026 while regulators brought three actions. Why the problem is partly structural — and what it means for how markets are designed.
• 
  Is Crypto in a Bear Market in 2026? What the Data Actually Shows
  Bitcoin is down roughly 49% from its October 2025 peak — but previous bear markets erased 75–80%. What drove the 2026 decline, why it looks unusually mild, and which scenarios remain open.
• 
  F1 2026 Championship: Can Antonelli Hold Off Hamilton and the Field?
  Last updated: July 2026  ·  8 min read Formula 1’s 2026 season was always going to be unpredictable: a ground-up regulation reset introduced new power units with a roughly 50/50… Read more: F1 2026 Championship: Can Antonelli Hold Off Hamilton and the Field?
• 
  Bitcoin ETF Outflows 2026: Is the Institutional Demand Engine Stalling?
  Last updated: July 2026  ·  8 min read Since spot Bitcoin ETFs launched in 2024, their flows have been the cleanest single indicator of institutional demand for BTC. In 2026… Read more: Bitcoin ETF Outflows 2026: Is the Institutional Demand Engine Stalling?
• 
  US-Iran Conflict: Escalation and De-escalation Scenarios for 2026
  Last updated: July 2026  ·  9 min read The confrontation between the United States and Iran has become the defining geopolitical risk of 2026. Since American strikes began in May,… Read more: US-Iran Conflict: Escalation and De-escalation Scenarios for 2026
• 
  Ballon d’Or 2026: Kane vs Yamal — What Prediction Markets Say
  Last updated: July 2026  ·  8 min read Spain’s World Cup victory on 19 July changed the shape of the Ballon d’Or 2026 race in a single evening. Lamine Yamal,… Read more: Ballon d’Or 2026: Kane vs Yamal — What Prediction Markets Say

Explore by Topic

• ☁️ Climate — Environmental & Sustainability Forecasts (1)
• ⚽ Sports — Forecasts & Competitive Outcomes (62)
• 🌍 Geopolitics — Global Forecasts and Power Dynamics (19)
• 🎭 Culture — Media, Ideas & Social Trends (7)
• 🏛 Politics — Forecasts, Elections, and Power Shifts (2)
• 💡 Technology — Innovation & Future Trends (15)
• 💰 Economy — Forecasts & Market Expectations (8)
• 📈 Finance — Market Movements & Investor Sentiment (12)
• 🧩 General Information — How Nexory and Prediction Markets Work (21)
• 🪙 Crypto — Forecasts & Blockchain Trends (27)