Understand the future through prediction markets

Latest from the Journal

Fresh analysis, forecasts, and guides — updated continuously. For those interested in market-based forecasting, our coverage includes prediction markets and their insights.

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  US-Iran Conflict: Escalation and De-escalation Scenarios for 2026
  Last updated: July 2026  ·  9 min read The confrontation between the United States and Iran has become the defining geopolitical risk of 2026. Since American strikes began in May,… Read more: US-Iran Conflict: Escalation and De-escalation Scenarios for 2026
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  Ballon d’Or 2026: Kane vs Yamal — What Prediction Markets Say
  Last updated: July 2026  ·  8 min read Spain’s World Cup victory on 19 July changed the shape of the Ballon d’Or 2026 race in a single evening. Lamine Yamal,… Read more: Ballon d’Or 2026: Kane vs Yamal — What Prediction Markets Say
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  Super Bowl LXI Predictions: Rams, Seahawks, and the 2026 NFL Season
  Last updated: July 2026  ·  8 min read With training camps open and the 2026 NFL season approaching, forecasters are already pricing the road to Super Bowl LXI — scheduled… Read more: Super Bowl LXI Predictions: Rams, Seahawks, and the 2026 NFL Season
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  Will the Polymarket–Kalshi Duopoly Break in 2026?
  Last updated: July 2026  ·  8 min read Two companies almost no one had heard of five years ago now define an entire category. In 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket sit… Read more: Will the Polymarket–Kalshi Duopoly Break in 2026?
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  Why Focused, Niche Prediction Markets Could Beat the Giants
  Last updated: July 2026  ·  7 min read The biggest prediction-market platforms compete to price everything at once — elections, interest rates, sports finals, awards shows, even the weather. Breadth… Read more: Why Focused, Niche Prediction Markets Could Beat the Giants
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  Biggest Prediction Market Bets of 2026: The $45B Story
  Prediction markets traded a record $45 billion in a single month in 2026. From the World Cup to the midterms, here are the biggest bets defining the year.

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• ☁️ Climate — Environmental & Sustainability Forecasts (1)
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• 🎭 Culture — Media, Ideas & Social Trends (7)
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• 💡 Technology — Innovation & Future Trends (15)
• 💰 Economy — Forecasts & Market Expectations (8)
• 📈 Finance — Market Movements & Investor Sentiment (12)
• 🧩 General Information — How Nexory and Prediction Markets Work (20)
• 🪙 Crypto — Forecasts & Blockchain Trends (25)