Understand the future through prediction markets

Latest from the Journal

Fresh analysis, forecasts, and guides — updated continuously. For those interested in market-based forecasting, our coverage includes prediction markets and their insights.

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  Norway World Cup 2026 Prediction: Can Haaland Carry Them All the Way?
  Norway reached its first-ever World Cup quarter-final by beating Brazil. What Haaland’s form and the underlying numbers say about how far this run can go.
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  World Cup 2026 Predictions vs Results: What Markets Got Right — and Wrong
  A midpoint audit of World Cup 2026 forecasts: what prediction markets priced correctly, where they went wrong, and what it teaches about forecasting.
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  World Cup 2026 Quarter-Final Predictions: Match-by-Match Forecast
  France vs Morocco, Spain vs Belgium, Norway vs England, and Argentina’s path: a match-by-match forecast of the World Cup 2026 quarter-finals with market probabilities.
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  Bitcoin vs Ethereum Outlook 2026: Which Has the Stronger Case?
  Last updated: July 2026  ·  9 min read Bitcoin and Ethereum are frequently discussed together, but they represent two distinct investment theses. Bitcoin’s case rests largely on scarcity, monetary positioning,… Read more: Bitcoin vs Ethereum Outlook 2026: Which Has the Stronger Case?
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  What Makes a Good Prediction Market? Liquidity, Incentives, and Question Design
  Last updated: July 2026  ·  9 min read Prediction markets are often discussed as a single category, as if any market that lets people trade on a future outcome works… Read more: What Makes a Good Prediction Market? Liquidity, Incentives, and Question Design
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  Why Mbappé Won’t Win the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot
  Last updated: June 2026  ·  8 min read Kylian Mbappé is the pre-tournament favourite to win the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot. Every major prediction market has him near or… Read more: Why Mbappé Won’t Win the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot

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• ⚽ Sports — Forecasts & Competitive Outcomes (44)
• 🌍 Geopolitics — Global Forecasts and Power Dynamics (17)
• 🏛 Politics — Forecasts, Elections, and Power Shifts (1)
• 💡 Technology — Innovation & Future Trends (12)
• 💰 Economy — Forecasts & Market Expectations (7)
• 📈 Finance — Market Movements & Investor Sentiment (11)
• 🧩 General Information — How Nexory and Prediction Markets Work (16)
• 🪙 Crypto — Forecasts & Blockchain Trends (20)