Category: 💰 Economy — Forecasts & Market Expectations

Last updated: May 2026  ·  8 min read Gold has had a remarkable run. After breaking through $2,000 per troy ounce for the first time in 2020, it reached new all-time highs above $3,000 in 2024-2025 driven by central bank buying, geopolitical uncertainty, and dollar diversification by emerging market...

Last updated: May 2026  ·  8 min read Oil price forecasting sits at the intersection of geopolitics, macroeconomics, and energy market dynamics in ways that make it uniquely complex. Few commodities are as politically sensitive, as strategically important, or as subject to sudden supply disruptions that override underlying demand...

Last updated: May 2026  ·  8 min read The US recession question has been at the centre of economic debate since the Federal Reserve began its aggressive tightening cycle in 2022. Despite widespread predictions of imminent recession in 2023 and 2024 — predictions that did not materialise — the...

Last updated: May 2026  ·  8 min read Inflation has been the defining macroeconomic story of this decade. After peaking at multi-decade highs in 2022 and beginning a gradual descent, the question in 2026 is whether it completes the journey back to the Federal Reserve’s 2% target — or...

Last updated: May 2026  ·  9 min read Whether a global recession materialises in 2026 is one of the most consequential open questions in macroeconomics. The answer shapes investment strategy, monetary policy, employment, and asset prices across every market — from equities and bonds to crypto and commodities. One...