Tag: Market Design

Platforms flagged over 100 potential insider trading cases in 2026 while regulators brought three actions. Why the problem is partly structural — and what it means for how markets are designed....

Last updated: July 2026  ·  7 min read The biggest prediction-market platforms compete to price everything at once — elections, interest rates, sports finals, awards shows, even the weather. Breadth like that grabs headlines. But it also creates an opening. When a platform tries to cover the entire world,...

Prediction markets traded a record $45 billion in a single month in 2026. From the World Cup to the midterms, here are the biggest bets defining the year....

Last updated: July 2026  ·  7 min read Polymarket and Kalshi proved that prediction markets can reach a large audience. What they have not yet done is make the experience feel effortless. Their products were shaped by and for early adopters — people comfortable with wallets, order books, and...

Last updated: July 2026  ·  9 min read Prediction markets are often discussed as a single category, as if any market that lets people trade on a future outcome works the same way. In practice, the quality of a prediction market varies enormously — and that quality is not...