Tag: Prediction Markets

Sports prediction markets operate nationwide under federal oversight, but 17 states are actively contesting them in court. A clear map of where access stands in 2026 and what could resolve the dispute....

Platforms flagged over 100 potential insider trading cases in 2026 while regulators brought three actions. Why the problem is partly structural — and what it means for how markets are designed....

Last updated: July 2026  ·  9 min read The confrontation between the United States and Iran has become the defining geopolitical risk of 2026. Since American strikes began in May, the conflict has closed the Strait of Hormuz to most traffic, pushed oil above $100 per barrel, and opened...

Last updated: July 2026  ·  8 min read Two companies almost no one had heard of five years ago now define an entire category. In 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket sit at the center of prediction markets, reportedly valued at roughly $22 billion and $15 billion, and together accounting for...

Last updated: July 2026  ·  7 min read The biggest prediction-market platforms compete to price everything at once — elections, interest rates, sports finals, awards shows, even the weather. Breadth like that grabs headlines. But it also creates an opening. When a platform tries to cover the entire world,...

Prediction markets traded a record $45 billion in a single month in 2026. From the World Cup to the midterms, here are the biggest bets defining the year....

Prediction markets give Democrats a strong chance to flip the House in 2026, while the Senate stays a coin flip. What the midterm odds actually say right now....

Last updated: July 2026  ·  7 min read Polymarket and Kalshi proved that prediction markets can reach a large audience. What they have not yet done is make the experience feel effortless. Their products were shaped by and for early adopters — people comfortable with wallets, order books, and...

Last updated: July 2026  ·  9 min read Prediction markets are often discussed as a single category, as if any market that lets people trade on a future outcome works the same way. In practice, the quality of a prediction market varies enormously — and that quality is not...